Somewhat likely at best. Decades of failed mediation, entrenched hatred, and spoilers on both sides make 'very likely' delusional — temporary truces are realistic, lasting peace is a stretch.
Somewhat likely. Mediators can force pauses and deals, but lasting peace needs trust and political courage both sides haven’t shown.
A lasting ceasefire is somewhat likely because international mediators hold the purse strings. When global superpowers threaten to pull funding, both sides will have to listen.
Mediation keeps failing cuz both sides got deep grudges and zero faith in outsiders. Lasting peace ain't happening without them sorting it themselves.
